Carry the self-contained units consisting of the mechanical manipulator and a reprogrammable system of management which are used to movement of objects in space and for accomplishment of different production processes to industrial robots.
Industrial robots are important components of the automated flexible production systems (FPS) which allow to increase labor productivity.This article of TAdviser is devoted to the overview of the market of this equipment.
In a year in Russia 860 industrial robots are implemented. In total in the world – 384 thousand
According to the report of the National Association of Participants of the Market of Robotics (NAPMR), provided on April 24, 2019, in 2018 in Russia 860 robots were established that is 21% more, than in 2017. For comparison, in China for the same period 133,200 industrial robots, in Japan – 52,400 were implemented.
In Russia the ratio of number of robots on 10,000 workers made 4 robots, at the average world indicator: 106 robots for Europe, 91 – for America and 75 – for Asia.
On the level of robotization the automotive industry is in the lead: 378 robots are employed at the enterprises of carmakers in Russia (growth was 44% in comparison with 2017). 602 robots work in other industries, from them 19% are involved in metallurgical industry.
NAURR estimates the total amount of the industrial robot market in Russia at 2.5 billion rubles, the market of the robotic systems – in 7.5 billion rubles.
As for world statistics on robotization, it was read by Andreas Bauer, the vice president for corporate marketing of KUKA company and in combination the Chairman of the Committee of suppliers of robots of the International federation of robotics (IFR). It provided annual official data of the report of federation on market situation of industrial robotics around the world.
So, according to the report, in 2018 more than 384,000 industrial robots were installed at manufacturing enterprises worldwide, it is 1% more, than in 2017, and it is a new record of robotization of production. 15% of global number of the installed robots are the share of 5 largest markets of industrial robotics (China, Japan, the USA, South Korea, Germany).
In the world market of robotization automotive industry remains the leading industry still: in 2018 at the enterprises about 116,000 robots were installed (that is 6% less, than in 2017). On the second place – production of electronics: the number of the installed robots in 2018 grew by 8% up to about 113,000 robots. Both of these industries drew on themselves nearly 60% of industrial robotization of the whole world. The metallurgy and mechanical engineering gradually increases the number of robots, in their 2018 48,000 were set.
The countries with the greatest penetration of industrial robots
At the beginning of April, 2019 the International federation of robotics (IFR) published the research devoted to the level of penetration of industrial robots in the different countries.
In 2018 in the American market the record number of robots — nearly 38 thousand pieces was sold. It was promoted in many respects by the companies which are engaged in food and chemical industry (including plastic processing) which increased expenses on robotics on 64% and 30% respectively.
Most of all robots in the USA are involved in production of cars — in their 2017 there were 1200 pieces in relation to 10 thousand workers against 790 in the 2012th. However car makers reduce purchases of robots: in 2016 record 16,311 units, in the 2017th — 15,400, in the 2018th — 14,600 were purchased. Sales decrease approximately by 7% a year, but 38% of all industrial robots in the USA were the share of automotive industry in 2018.
According to Bureau of Labor Statistics of the USA, the general employment in the automotive industry increased by 22% — from 824,400 jobs in 2013 up to 1,005,000 in the 2018th. These data show that, despite industrial automation of cars and component parts to them, the unemployment problem in this sector is absent.
Electronics industry with 18 percent to a share in a total quantity of the used equipment became the second in number of the purchased robots in the USA. Producers of electronics increase implementation of robots approximately for 15% a year.
The robot nearly killed the worker, having pierced it with 10 steel probes
On December 11, 2018 it became known of accident which happened to the 49-year-old Chinese by the name of Zhou. In it 10 steel probes as a result of falling of the manipulator which flew from the industrial robot pierced. Fortunately, the worker managed to be saved, despite strong damages.
Incident occurred on December 4, 2018 at porcelain factory in the city of Chu-chou (the Province of Hunan in the southeast of China) during a night shift. From the fallen part of the robot thorns 30 cm long and with a diameter of 1.5 cm which were thrust in a back, a shoulder and Zhou's hand took off. Some of them passed through, and one metal probe stopped in only 1 mm from an important nerve ganglion in chest department — in the area between a clavicle and the first edge. Still slightly and at the victim severe hemorrhage which strongly would reduce chances of survival could begin.
With severe wounds the man was taken to local hospital from where he was sent to clinic in the capital of the province. Because of probes he could not lie neither on a back, nor on a stomach. Its wounds processed more than ten nurses and doctors from different departments. Early in the morning the worker was operated and successfully took all probes, reports the Daily Mail edition with reference to People's Daily Online.
The surgeon Wu Panfeng who operated with Zhou, told that because of the big length of metal probes the patient could not undergo x-ray scanning. After transaction which took place successfully the status of the man was stabilized. Nothing threatens his life.
In August, 2018 it was reported that the worker in China survived after his head was pierced by a three-meter metal rod. The victim was operated, took the rod which entered a brain on 20 cm and recovered a skull.
By 2020 3 million robots will be involved in the industry worldwide
Sberbank published on April 25, 2018 the state-of-the-art review of the world market of robotics prepared by Laboratory of robotics of Sberbank. According to the overview, growth rates of the market of industrial robotics advance growth rates of world GDP: between 2011 and 2016 annual average growth in sales of industrial robots made 12%. According to the estimates of IFR (International Federation of Robotics), in 2016 was sold to 294 thousand industrial robots that is 16% more than in 2015, and the total amount of the market reached $13.1 billion (taking into account software, the periphery and services of integration the market exceeds $40 billion).
Meanwhile, the market of service robotics grows even quicker. So, in 2015 48 thousand professional service robots were sold, and in 2016 this number increased by 24% to 59 thousand. The total amount of the market of professional service robots reached $4.7 billion.
The total quantity of the sold personal service robots in 2016 increased by 24%, having reached about 6.7 million units, and the total amount of the market increased to $2.6 billion. For example, in the world already more than 20 million robots vacuum cleaners who promptly become cheaper owing to increase in the competition, noted in Sberbank.
Industrial robotics grows on average for 15% a year due to rapid robotization of the Chinese economy and while growth of service robotics has deeper reasons: the most part of world economy is service economy. For this reason service robotics shows more significant growth (at the level of 25% a year) at rather smaller digits in absolute value in comparison with industrial, said in the overview.
According to Sberbank, the situation with robotics in Russia is total reflection of the trend described above. In spite of the fact that Russia — on the penultimate place in the world on robotization density in the industry, our country, according to statistics of IFR, enters in top-20 the manufacturing countries of service robotics. It means that in the field at our country the good potential for growth. A ratio of industrial and service robototekhnik in Russia — 1 to 10.
91% of all industrial robots in 2016 were installed in the sector of manufacturing industry. The annual average growth rate of sales on all industries of manufacturing industry in 2011-2016 was 13%; for automotive industry — 12%, and for electronic industry — 19%.
As for service robots, them most of all in absolute expression is on sale for logistics (~ 25 thousand units), military application (~ 11 thousand), for commercial spaces (~ 7 thousand), field works and exoskeletons (on ~ 6 thousand).
For personal use in 2016 in the world 6.7 million robots for the amount of $2.6 billion, 4.6 million from them — robots for house tasks (generally vacuum cleaners) and for entertainment — 2.1 million were purchased (generally toys).
According to estimates of IFR, the world operational park of industrial robots will grow approximately from 1,828 thousand units at the end of 2016 to 3,053 thousand units by the end of 2020 that corresponds to annual average growth rates in 14% in 2018-2020.
Experts of Laboratory of Sberbank consider the directions which by 2020 will form a basis of the market of industrial and service robotics:
- pilotless passenger transport
- robots for commercial spaces;
- robots interlocutors (assistants);
- logistic robots and pilotless cargo transport;
- collaborative robots;
- industrial exoskeletons;
- robots for agriculture.
- robots for customer service;
- industrial exoskeletons;
- robots for house tasks (personal assistants).
From 13 most noticeable producers of industrial robots in international market eight — FANUC, Yaskawa, Kawasaki, Nachi, Denso, Mitsubishi, Epson and Omron — Japanese. Other five companies — from the European Union: ABB, Stäubli, Kuka, Comau, Universal Robots.
The main player in the market of service robotics is the USA: in total 49% of service robots are produced in America. Asia significantly lags behind — only 30%, in Europe — 21%. However Asian producers were already ahead of Europeans in the field of personal robotics, noted in Sberbank. Despite unconditional leadership in the number of the sold service robots, cedes the USA to Europe by the number of producers. So, in 2016 by the number of manufacturing companies the European region (44%) was in the lead, North America (35%) and Asia (21%) considerably lagged behind.
According to the estimates of Laboratory of Sberbank, in Russia about 80 companies conducting developments in the field of robotics actively work. Some of them are already engaged in successful export of the products. But while the Russian market of industrial robotics is small — its volume was less than 10 billion rubles in 2016.
Sales of industrial robots exceeded 380 thousand pieces
In 2017 about 380.6 thousand industrial robots were sold worldwide that is 29.3% more than result for previous year in 294.3 thousand robots. Such data with reference to the report of World Robotics Report 2018 prepared by the International federation of robotics (International Federation of Robotics, IFR), publish the DigiTimes and Industrial Automation Asia editions.
By estimates of IFR, nearly a third from total amount, to be exact 125.4 thousand from the industrial robots implemented last year, were purchased by car makers. In comparison with the 2016th the automotive industry increased purchases of robotics by 21%. Though world car sales slow down, the automobile companies continue to robotize production. Especially the trend is expressed in China and among producers of electric vehicles, said in a research.
Besides, sales of robots to the enterprises of the metallurgical, electronic and food industry significantly increased - on these industries the increase made 54%, 27% and 19% respectively.
IFR follows from the report that entered into the three of the largest buyers of industrial robots China, South Korea and Japan: by estimates of IFR, in 2017 these countries set 138, 40 and 39 thousand units of the robotic equipment. Besides, the People's Republic of China showed the highest growth rates - for 58% in comparison with the 2016th.
Asia and Australia where producers purchased 255 thousand industrial robots (+34%) was the largest regional market. 67 thousand units of robotics were bought by Europe (+20%) and 50 thousand - North and Latin America (+22%).
China promptly increases production of industrial robots
Production of industrial robots grows in China at prompt rates. At the beginning of December, 2017 the Ministry of the industry and information technologies of the People's Republic of China (Ministry of Industry and Information Technology) reported that as of the end of October, 2017 in the country more than 100 thousand robots are produced.
In comparison with 2016 deliveries of industrial robots increased by 67%. The government of the People's Republic of China calculates that according to the results of all 2017 of shipment of the industrial robotic systems will reach 120 thousand units.
In 2016 China produced about 90 thousand industrial robots it is, more, than South Korea and North America combined, transfers Bloomberg with reference to data of the International federation of robotics (International Federation of Robotics, IFR).
The Chinese news agency of Xinhua also notes that the People's Republic of China is the world's largest industrial robot market to which share about a third of the global sales volume of such systems falls.
It is expected that in 2017 turnover in the Chinese industrial robot market will grow to $4.2 billion, and by 2020 the indicator will reach $5.9 billion.
The robotics is included in the list of key areas of development of the state program of Made in China 2025 which purpose is upgrade of a manufacturing sector of the country.
According to estimates of IFR, in 2015 about two thirds of the robots released in China fell to the share of foreign producers. By the end of 2017 a ratio it was significantly reduced thanks to efforts of the Chinese companies, such as Midea Group and Siasun Robot & Automation, on strengthening of positions in the robotics industry.
In the 2016th Midea purchased the leading world developer of robotics — the German firm Kuka AG, and in October of the 2017th the largest Chinese producer of Siasun robots opened in Shenyang near the headquarters the new industrial
Actions of suppliers rise in price
In the world automation continues to gain steam: the army of robots occupies all new factories, the plants and the warehouse enterprises worldwide. The trend mentioned not only the developed, but also developing economies. However the first, of course, are in the lead on purchases of industrial robots. On November 20, 2017 reported about it to The Financial Times.
The advanced machines capable not only to weld kuzova of cars and to raise weights, but also to execute more difficult and delicate transactions — from production of electronic components before laying of chocolates, are more and more demanded in the world. In parallel with demand also the stock exchange quotations of the leading industry members among which there are Japanese companies Fanuc and Yaskawa, the Swiss concern ABB and German grow Kuka. According to the edition, the stocks Yaskawa and Kuka in 2017 rose in price more than twice, and the cost of securities of Fanuc and ABB since the beginning of year increased by 40% and almost for 16% respectively.
Emergence of kobot with the AI elements
Characteristic trend — expansion of the range of robots among whom there were machines with elements of artificial intelligence now, capable to work side by side with people. These are so-called collaborative robots, or the kobota which are specially developed for interaction with the person. Among advantages of such machines there is a possibility of training by simulation.
| ||Kobotam programmers are not necessary. Any can train them, they are very ordinary in use. It is necessary just to click record and to do necessary actions, and then to repeat them several times. After that the machine will reproduce movements in a standalone mode — Jonathan Cohen, the employee of the RoboCap UCITS investment fund specializing in robotics tells about advantages of kobot.|| |
Besides, in comparison with traditional robots, kobota have smaller weight, they are more compacts and are mobile and also are cheap that is especially important for the enterprises of small and medium business.
| ||The market of robotics surely grows the last four-five years, and we optimistically predict that such situation will remain the next three years — said to the edition Fegard Nerzet (Per Vegard Nerseth) Lane, the managing director of ABB Robotics company.|| |
However distribution of robots generated concerns that over time machines will take away work from people. In September, 2017 the analyst of Deutsche Bank John Cryan said that robots already force out people from jobs and that in the future the trend will amplify.
The alarm is warmed up also by consulting company McKinsey: according to its estimates, in the future from 30% to 60% of the transactions executed by people can be automated.
However the head of ABB Robotics does not separate similar fears. According to him, deficit of employees for accomplishment of the qualified handwork is partly guilty of increase in demand for robots. Often the companies automate too tiresome, dirty or dangerous transactions which people just do not wish to execute.
| ||Many companies experience difficulties because cannot find enough employees on places where manual work is required... Now I do not see that robots actually took away work from people. I would tell, they help the companies to become more competitive and effective — noted Fegard Nerzet Lane.|| |
IOActive: Almost any industrial robot can attack the person
Industrial robots have a large amount of vulnerabilities, up to such which allow to deliver them under remote control. Outputs of a research which was conducted by IOActive company whose experts studied program components for robots of six large producers are like that.
Directly researchers did not work with robots, but carefully studied program components, including, covers and mobile applications. Results were very unfavourable.
Developments of SoftBank Robotics companies (NAO and Pepper robots), Ubtech Robotics (Alpha 1S and Alpha 2), Robotis (Robotis OP2 and Thormang3), Universal Robots (UR3, UR5 and UR10), Rethink Robotics (Baxter and Sawyer) and also a management system for Asratec Corp V-Sido robots became an object of research.
In total researchers revealed nearly 50 program vulnerabilities connected with the most different aspects of work with these machines: problems with communications, authorization in itself and its mechanisms, enciphering, storage of personal data of users preset by settings and components with the open code are detected.
It became clear, in particular, that vulnerabilities give to malefactors at least a hypothetical opportunity to use cameras and microphones of robots for espionage while other bugs allow capture of control over the device and its uses for causing physical damage.
Implementation of robots at the plants in Eastern Europe
Countries of Eastern Europe faced labor shortage. This situation developed slowly but surely — the foundation for it was laid by financial crisis of 2008, and in 2011 the last restrictions of the legislation constraining outflow of labor power to richer countries of the European Union were cancelled. Though politicians and economists in many countries of the world sound the alarm concerning a negative impact of the robotization of production venting people from jobs, automation became rescue for the local enterprises trying to keep the place in the market.
The companies in Eastern Europe make more and more investments in automation to cope with staff shortage. Rates of robotization of production grew almost by a third – only for 2017 at the enterprises of Central and Eastern Europe 9900 units of robotics were set, i.e. is 28% more, than in 2016. But also it is still not enough to fill all empty jobs. By 2020 deliveries of robotics to this region will grow by 21% though the average indicator of a gain across Europe is only 10%, reported in the report of the International federation of robotics (IFR) which traces the main trends of robotization worldwide.
Falling of birth rate and migration outflow became primary reason of labor shortage in countries of Eastern Europe. The population of Eastern Europe slowly grows old as show demographic analyses. According to forecasts of the UN, by 2050 the general population of Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary will be reduced by 8 million and will reach 56 million people. All these changes led to change of labor model of the former communistic states. At first the companies tried to raise the salary the worker, but it appeared insufficiently to convince young people to remain in the country.
Most from the countries of Central and Eastern Europe Hungary suffered. Owners of the enterprises cannot pick up employees on production, and the big routine of the personnel only aggravates a situation. In these conditions forced automation becomes the only reasonable strategy of behavior for the enterprises.
The Hungarian producer of tension seat belts Hirtenberger Automotive Safety spent €2.5 million for installation of robotics in two production blocks. Current situation is the most profitable it appeared for producers of robotics. Revenue of Vesz-Mont 2000 company in 2017 grew by 10%. In 2018 the enterprise expects to double robotics sales volume. The company could make and earn more, but as it is paradoxical, it lacks workers too.
The most automated country of Eastern Europe is Slovakia. 135 robots are the share of 100,000 workers here. In the Czech Republic — 101, in Hungary — 57, and in Poland — only 32 that is connected with inflow of the Ukrainian migrant workers. However industrial automation demands new skills from employees, and the companies in Eastern Europe already faced a problem of education of the personnel. Some producers already start the training programs for graduates of school.
Economists warn that labor shortage can have negative effects for some countries of Eastern Europe which will be shown until the end of 2020. Analysts of UniCredit note that though gradual staff shortage in labor market developed at least within three last years, 2018 can become a turning point when deficit of labor power begins to influence rates of economic growth of these countries directly. It will be more profitable to some companies to move production to other countries. Though they are not protected. Gradually the problem will extend also to Western Europe. Already now Germany, the Netherlands, France and Great Britain also complain of the shortage of workers, Reuters reports.
The world park of industrial robots - 1.8 million pieces
Data of Laboratory of robotics of Sberbank
- Growth rates of the market of industrial robotics advance growth rates of world GDP: between 2011 and 2016 annual average growth in sales of industrial robots made 12%. In 2016 294 thousand industrial robots were sold, and the total amount of the market reached $13.1 billion (taking into account the software and services of integration the market exceeds $40 billion).
- The general world ̆ the park of the exploited industrial robots for the end of 2016 grew to 1,828 thousand units. According to estimates of IFR, the world operational park of industrial robots will grow approximately from 1,828 thousand units at the end of 2016 to 3,053 thousand units at the end of 2020 that corresponds to annual average growth rates in 14% in 2018-2020.
- 91% of all industrial robots in 2016 were installed in the sector of manufacturing industry.
- The annual average growth rate of sales on all industries of manufacturing industry in 2011-2016 was 13%; for automotive industry — 12%, and for electronic ̆ the industries — 19%.
- 74% of world sales of industrial robots are the share of five countries: China (30%), Republic Korea (14%), Japan (13%), USA (11%) and Germany (7%). In 2016 in Russia 358 industrial robots were sold.
- From 13 most noticeable producers of industrial robots in international market eight — FANUC, Yaskawa, Kawasaki, Nachi, Denso, Mitsubishi, Epson and Omron — Japanese. Other five companies — from the European Union: ABB, Stäubli, Kuka, Comau, Universal Robots.
- The Russian market of industrial robotics is small (less than 10 billion rubles in 2016). There are less than 10 domestic manufacturers, but even they have industrial robots not core business because of what they lose to foreign competitors both as the product, and in convenience of service.
300 thousand industrial robots for $13.1 billion (+18%) are sold
According to the International Federation of robotics (International Federation of Robotics, IFR), in 2016 global proceeds from sales of industrial robots grew by 18% and reached record volume in $13.1 billion. In total in the world nearly 300 thousand such machines from which three quarters purchased five countries — China, South Korea, Japan, the USA and Germany were implemented.
Forecast of Markets and Markets
According to the forecast of Markets and Markets research company, by 2023 the size of the market of industrial robots will grow to $71 billion from $38 billion in 2016.
Data of Boston Consulting Group
Any large-scale modern production does not do without the help of industrial robots who are widely used to processes of welding, movement of products, processing, coloring, assembly, etc. The cumulative number of industrial robots in the world already exceeds 1.3 million units. According to the forecast of Boston Consulting Group, by 2025 the share of the tasks solved using robots will reach 26%.
The Russian share in the world volume of consumption of robots at the moment makes less than 1%, and robotization density — 2 robots on 10 thousand workers. It is caused including the fact that technology processes on domestic productions became outdated and need upgrade. Among the main problems: a lack of knowledge of robotization opportunities, complexity of joining and coordination of components of a robotic complex, need of each robot to program separately, the shortage of software for design, weak educational infrastructure, etc.
2014: Automotive industry - the main consumer of robots
The automotive industry became the leading industry on use of robots at the end of 2014.
2010: 60 thousand robots for $5 billion, 70% in automotive industry are sold
Global production volume of industrial robots was expressed approximately in 60 thousand pieces (about $5 billion) which 70% were purchased by the enterprises of world automotive industry.
According to Vladimir Serebrenny, the director of production of technology equipment and the equipment (PTOO) of AvtoVAZ (April, 2011), the Russian industry feels the need for acquisition of 300-400 robots in a year, and about 200 of them are made PTOO for own needs of AvtoVAZ. The cost of one robot at the same time was "from 2 to 3 million rubles", thus Serebrenny estimates the volume of the domestic market of industrial robotics in the range from 600 million rubles up to 1.2 billion rubles ($20 - $40 million) in a year.
Sales volumes of their only Russian competitor of PTOO "AvtoVAZ" are limited to "tens of sales in the Russian market".
Since 1984, Serebrenny tells, PTOO made the equipment licensed by Kuka company for automobile works, however in 2007 mastered release of own models of technology robots for welding and transport works and also for putting mastics and sealants.
In the early eighties, Vladimir Serebrenny notices, the USSR took the third place in the world on number of the released industrial robots after the USA and Japan. Now perspectives of its enterprise consist in development of the agreement with Renault Nissan concern, affiliated with AvtoVAZ, on delivery of assembly lines and robots of development of PTOO to the enterprises of the French-Japanese alliance.
1961: First-ever industrial robot
The first-ever industrial Ultimate robot began to work at the General Motors (GM) plant. Programs for his hand weighing 1200 kg were stored on a magnetic drum.
- Robots (robotics)
- Robotics (world market)
- In the industry, medicine, fighting
- Service robots
- Collaborative robot, cobot (Collaborative robot, kobot)
- IoT - IIoT
- Artificial intelligence (AI, Artificial intelligence, AI)
- Artificial intelligence (market of Russia)
- In banks, medicine, radiology
- National Association of Participants of the Market of Robotics (NAPMR)
- Russian association of artificial intelligence
- National center of development of technologies and basic elements of robotics
- The international Center for robotics (IRC) based on NITU MISIS
- ↑ US robot density now more than double that of China
- ↑ Chinese worker cheats death after being skewered by TEN massive steel spikes in a factory accident
- ↑ Over 380.000 industrial robots sold globally in 2017, says IFR
- ↑ Industrial Robot Sales Increase Worldwide By of 29%: IFR
- ↑ China produces over 100.000 industrial robots in first ten months
- ↑ park worth $300 million of Robots Multiply in China With Annual Output Passing 100.000
- ↑ Robot army is transforming the global workplace
- ↑ [http://safe.cnews.ru/news/top/2017-03-06_issledovanie_pochti_lyuboj_promyshlennyj_robot of CNews
- ↑ : Almost any industrial robot can attack the person]
- ↑ the robots: automation fills gaps in east Europe's factories
- ↑ of RVC told to what IT projects it will give 2 billion