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Main prophecies of Gartner: mobility, growth of IT expenses and terrorist cyber attacks

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01.12.10, 16:02, Msk

Gartner selected main of the prophecies for the next years: analysts promise growth of a role of IT in business, increase in awards of Chief information officers, arrival of mobile technologies to corporate environment and also frightening perspectives of continuous cyber attacks to critical IT systems.

The Gartner analytical company issued the key forecast for the IT organizations and their users for 2011 and further. According to analysts, we are waited by serious change of a role which is played by technologies at the moment in business, world economy and life of private users.

This year on consideration of experts there were more than 100 relevant forecasts which were estimated by different criteria, including relevance, effectiveness and others. As the vice president of Gartner Brian Gammage explained, key forecasts of Gartner reflect trends and destructive trends which will cardinally change IT-Business in the near future. He also added that they are selected from all areas of a research.

So, top forecasts of Gartner look as follows:

  • By 2015 new profits which will generate IT will change annual compensations of IT managers and the Global 2000 CIO list
  • By 2015 informatization of business will lead to the fact that IT expenses will grow by 60% for each employee
  • By 2015 emergence of the new automation equipment will allow to release 25% of the working time which is required for work with IT services
  • By 2015 20% of the companies of the Global 500 companies list (which are not the IT companies) will be service providers of "cloud" services
  • By 2014 90% of the organizations will support work of corporate applications on personal devices
  • By 2013 80% of business will support workflows based on tablets

There are in global forecasts of Gartner and frightening perspectives. In particular, experts of the company assume that by 2015 in the countries of "Group of Twenty" critical infrastructure will be under the threat of damage by way sabotage online / online of the attack by this time will become multimodal, drawing to the systems of the maximum harm will become their main goal, first of all it is financial and exchange systems, the systems of the enterprises (the control systems on chemical, nuclear and electronic productions) and mobile communications systems. Such attacks will have long-term and hardest effects, like what was caused by terrorist attack on September 11 in the USA.

One more unpleasant caution: by 2015 10 your % online of "friends" will be "bots". This circumstance will be connected with attempts to take under control influence in social media.