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2025/01/23 15:34:02

Japan's Foreign Trade

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Main article: Economy of Japan

2024

7th in the world in terms of trade deficit: - $47.9 billion

The 10 countries with the highest trade deficits in 2024:

1. US: - $1.1 trillion

2. India: - $245.5 billion

3. Britain: - $233.1 billion

4. Turkey: - $86.3 billion

5. France: - $82.3 billion

6. Philippines: - $65.9 billion

7. Japan: - $47.9 billion

8. Spain: - $37.5 billion

9. Greece: - $35.7 billion

10. Romania: - $31.3 billion

World Bank data, net trade balance.

Trade turnover of Russia and Japan for the year decreased by 21.8% to $7.56 billion

The Ministry of Finance of Japan in January 2025 published statistics, according to which trade between Russia and Japan decreased by 21.8% to $7.56 billion in 2024.

According to TASS, imports from Russia to Japan decreased by 16.7% to $5.5 billion, and exports of Japanese goods to Russia decreased by 17.2% to $2.09 billion. In December 2024, imports from Russia decreased by 32.8%, but exports from Japan increased by 10.3%.

Tokyo

The main categories in the structure of trade turnover remain Japanese cars, which make up more than 64% of Japan's total exports to Russia, and Russian energy resources, which account for about 63% of imports from Russia.

Kuniya Asamoto, head of the Russian and CIS department at the research and analytical department of the Japan Foreign Trade Development Organization (JETRO), attributes the reduction in trade to the imposed sanctions, which especially affected the supply of used cars and other goods from Japan.

In the structure of Japanese imports of liquefied natural gas, the share of Russia in the first half of 2024 amounted to 9%, remaining at the level of 2021. Experts note that Russia will remain one of the most important LNG suppliers for Japan.

In 2024, Japanese imports of Russian LNG decreased by 7.3%. Despite the overall decline in trade, energy cooperation between the countries continues, albeit on a smaller scale.

Kuniya Asamoto emphasizes that the main problem in the development of trade relations is the unfavorable business environment for Japanese companies when working with the Russian market. There is also a reduction in purchases of Russian coal by Japan.

According to JETRO experts, the downward trend in trade between countries may continue due to the current restrictions and a change in the structure of international trade.[1]

5th place in terms of imports to the United States - $147 billion

The 10 largest importers in the United States in 2024:

1. Mexico: $476 billion

2. China: $427 billion

3. Canada: $421 billion

4. Germany: $160 billion

5. Japan: $147 billion

6. South Korea: $116 billion

7. Vietnam: $114 billion

8. India: $84 billion

9. Ireland: $82bn

10. Italy: $73 billion

US-Japan trade in 2024

  • US exports - $80 billion.
  • Imports - $148 billion.
  • The deficit is $68 billion.

Sharp decline in Japan's share of car markets in Asia

Chinese automakers are bypassing once unrivaled Japanese rivals. Brands, including, and Toyota Honda , Nissan are losing their share at an alarming rate.

Chinese car suppliers oust Japanese rivals
Dynamics of the development of car suppliers in the Chinese market

Japan banned the export of software-controlled machines to Russia

In February 2024, Japan banned the export of numerical control (CNC) machines to Russia. The corresponding document is published on the website of the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry of Japan. Read more here.

Start redirecting major exports from China to the US

2023

Fifth place in exports with a volume of $0.79 trillion or 3% of exports from all countries of the world

In 1958 China Japan , they provided about 2.5% of world exports. Japan's share peaked at 10% in 1986, while China's share declined to 1.4%.

Since the mid-1990s, however, Japan's share has steadily declined to 3% by 2023, while China's exports have risen to 14.2%, marking a significant shift in global trade leadership.

Slight increase in exports of goods

Increasing exports of goods as a percentage of global GDP

Trade turnover of Russia and Japan for the fiscal year decreased by 42%

The trade turnover of Russia and Japan for the fiscal year 2023, which ended on March 31, 2024, decreased by a little more than 42% and amounted to 1.3 trillion yen ($8.4 billion at the rate at the time of publication of the material - April 17, 2024).

According to TASS, citing statistics from the Japanese Ministry of Finance, in 2023, goods from this country arrived in Russia in an amount that is 35% less than a year ago. Imports of products from the Russian Federation in Japan also decreased - by 44.3%.

Trade turnover of Russia and Japan for the year decreased by 42%

At  the same time, imports of grain from Japan to Russia in fiscal 2023 increased by 41.8%. At the same time, in March 2024 , this figure decreased by  94.3% compared to the same period in 2023 .

It is reported that in fiscal year 2023, imports of seafood from Japan to Russia decreased by 5.5%, but in March 2024 this figure increased by 43.7% compared to the same period in 2023. In fiscal 2023, Japan also reduced imports of vegetables from the Russian Federation by 59.2% and fruits by 99.3%.

According to the Japanese Ministry of Finance, the supply of passenger cars from Japan to the Russian Federation in fiscal 2023 fell by 7%. At the same time, the export of buses and trucks decreased by 55.1%, and the supply of spare parts and components - by 34.9%. At the same time, in March 2024, the export of passenger cars from Japan to the Russian Federation decreased by 15.3% compared to the same period in 2023. At the same time, the supply of buses and trucks, as a year earlier, was completely absent, and the export of spare parts and components decreased by 37.4%.

The decline in trade between Japan and Russia is caused by both economic restrictions and geopolitical factors, such as the imposition of sanctions and a change in trade policy.[2]

Car exports from Japan to Russia contracted for the second year in a row

In 2023, the export of passenger cars from Japan to Russia amounted to 212 thousand units, down 3.7%. The annual drop was the second in a row. This is evidenced by the data of the Japanese Ministry of Finance, which were released in January 2024. Read more here.

Japan's exports to Russia fell by a third

Trade between Russia and Japan in 2023 decreased by 45.3% compared to 2022 and amounted to 1.43 trillion yen, or $9.6 billion at the exchange rate at the time of publication of the material (January 24, 2024). Read more here.

Reduction of LNG imports

Average quarterly trade deficit $35 billion

Gone are the glorious times when Japan was a net exporter, and in 2023 the country has an average quarterly trade deficit of $35 billion compared to the conditional surplus rate of $20-25 billion from 1995 to 2010.

Торговые балансы Еврозоны и Japan sharply went into the red. Data for February 2023

Rising raw material prices, the loss of competitiveness of highly technological exports due to the development of China, South Korea and Taiwan, low economic profitability and severe restrictions on the labor market have all combined to limit export potential.

Moreover, most importantly, the collapse of the yen did not help in any way (the USD/JPY pair has grown by 50% since December 2020), and the export of goods and services is at the same level (about 225 billion per quarter), although global demand has grown significantly over 2.5 years, Spydell Finance wrote.

The diagnosis for the export part of the Japanese economy is hopeless, because more comfortable conditions than at this time are unlikely to be in the medium term.

In Q3 2022, Japan's trade deficit reached a historic anti-record of $52.4 billion due to the high cost of raw materials (Japan is a net importer of almost the entire spectrum of raw materials), but as of Q2 2023, the trade deficit fell to $15 billion.

In 2016-2017 and mid-2020, the surplus was mainly due to cheap raw materials. In the current configuration of Japan, it is extremely difficult to return to the trade surplus: the cost of imports has increased (not only raw materials, but also throughout the range of nomenclature) and in the past three years China has been very crowded with Japan in its usual sales markets (especially auto exports).

Japan also has an average quarterly secondary income deficit of 6-7 billion. Then where does the current account surplus come from, which rose to $40 billion in 2Q23, which is close to the $40-50 billion norm?

Negative trade balance in January by $26 billion

Investment income has greatly accelerated, which grew to an average quarterly of $65-70 billion against $55 billion in 2021 and $48 billion in 2017-2019. Including portfolio investments: the average quarterly outflow of residents in 2017-2019 was $39.7 billion, the inflow (repatriation of capital to Japan) at $1.4 billion in 2021 and the inflow of $11.3 billion from 1q22 to 2q23. The return of Japanese capital from foreign markets back to Japan (sale of assets in dollars, euros and pounds) is recorded.

Thus, the investment behavior of the Japanese contradicts sound logic.

A strong yield gap has always been relevant in Japan (low returns on financial instruments in Japan and high returns on foreign markets), but since March 2022, the yield gap has rapidly increased and reached an all-time high in October 2023, which, within the framework of adequate economic motivation, should increase capital outflow, and its return occurs.

2022

Reduction of share in global exports of goods to 4%

G7 countries are the main export destination

China is the largest export destination

According to data available for August 2023.

Maintaining the volume of passenger car exports

Deliveries of Japanese used cars to Russia for the year increased by 32%

In 2022, deliveries of used cars from Japan to Russia reached 213.5 thousand units, which is 32% more than a year earlier. Such data on February 13, 2023 was provided by an official representative of the Japanese Association of Used Car Exporters (JUMVEA). SUVs such as the Toyota Land Cruiser are in greatest demand, he said.

"It is difficult for us to answer the question about the reasons for the growth of demand in Russia for Japanese used cars. It is possible that this is due to their generally good technical condition and low mileage, "JUMVEA told TASS. In more detail here

Trade between Japan and Russia grew by 6.2%, to $19.96 billion

The trade turnover of Japan and Russia in 2022 increased by 6.2%, to 2.56 trillion yen (about $19.96 billion), despite sanctions during the conflict in Ukraine.

2021

China's second largest trading partner

Eighth largest importer to Russia

Coal imports from Russia

For 2021 Russia , it sends most of its coal to Asia, as it Europe avoids this fuel.

Russia's share in coal imports of some countries in 2021

Stagnation of exports to the United States amid a boom in other Asian countries

2019

Exporting Computer Devices

The volume of exports of computer devices in countries of the world, 2019

Decrease in trade with Russia relative to 2014

Over 5 years, trade has decreased with all key partners of the Russian Federation, except for China
Leading countries in terms of imports to Russia in 2019

The Impact of the Trump Administration's Trade Restrictions

2018

Dynamics of the balance of exports and imports with South Korea. Schedule

In 1990, more than 20% of Korean exports went to Japan, and in 2018 this figure decreased to 5%. Japan's exports to South Korea were more stable at 6 to 8%.

Rising Japanese whiskey exports

Japanese whiskey export dynamics

See also

Notes