Mobile broadband access Internet Market

Internet access (global market)

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LTE

Основная статья: LTE

Mobile Data Rate Worldwide

2024: Russia rises in the ranking of countries with the fastest mobile Internet

Russia climbed to 86th place in the world ranking of mobile Internet speed Speedtest Global Index, compiled by Ookla based on research results. This became known in July 2024.

In 2023, Russia occupied the 96th position in this ranking, and in May 2024 it was in 105th place. The average speed of mobile Internet for downloading in Russia in June 2024 amounted to 25.63 Mbps, which is 5.4% higher than a year ago (24.32 Mbps).

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Speedtest Global Index

The Ookla study is based on measurements of the speed of the Internet, which users of all operators make using the Speedtest application. 12.75 million tests were carried out on 1.38 million devices. The company has changed the methodology for calculating the rating, now the data for three months is analyzed instead of one.

The leading positions in the ranking were taken by the countries of the Persian Gulf. Qatar has the first place with the speed of mobile networks to download 334.6 Mbps, the second - from the UAE (323.6 Mbps), the third - from Kuwait (226.6 Mbps). The US is in 11th place with 113.1 Mbps.

Among the countries of the former USSR, the Baltic countries occupy the highest positions: Lithuania is in 17th place (100.38 Mbps), Estonia is in 21st (96.09 Mbps), Latvia is in 26th (86.92 Mbps). Kazakhstan is located in 54th place (46.63 Mbps), Moldova - in 63rd (38.99 Mbps), Uzbekistan - in 77th (30.34 Mbps).

The increase in mobile Internet speeds in the world is associated with the development of fifth generation (5G) networks. The average world mobile Internet speed increased from 43.14 Mbps to 56.43 Mbps in 2023.

In Russia, the issue of building 5G networks remains unresolved. The most optimal range of 3.4-3.8 GHz is occupied by the Ministry of Defense and Roskosmos. The authorities plan to create 5G infrastructure in Russian megacities by 2028, and in cities with a population of more than 500,000 by 2030, using domestically produced equipment.^[1]

2023: Russia drops out of top 100 countries with fastest mobile internet

In the ranking of countries with the fastest mobile Internet Russia by the end of 2023, it dropped to 102nd place from 99th a year earlier. We are talking about a study conducted by the company. Ookla

As Izvestia writes with reference to Ookla materials, in the ranking Russia missed Uzbekistan (99th place), Indonesia (100) and Tunisia (101). The countries with the fastest mobile Internet were the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Qatar and Kuwait, where the average speed of Internet connection through cellular networks is 324.92, 243.95 and 189.11 Mbps. In Russia, the indicator is 23.97 Mbps.

The one that rose by 10 lines and took 18th place India from 95 Mbps is rapidly developing - the standard is being actively implemented here 5G and large-scale investments in networks are noted. The most noticeable dynamics was shown, Zimbabwe which rose immediately to 34 places and became 74th, showing 32.41 Mbps. The ranking rose to 23 positions, taking Armenia 93rd place with a result of 25.17 Mbps.

Despite the loss of places in the global ranking, the absolute indicators of the network in Russia increased. Thus, the download speed in mobile networks increased by an average of 10%, downloads - by almost 5%. According to a cellular network design specialist contacted by the newspaper, the rating data do not indicate the degradation of cellular communications in Russia. The increase in speed in individual countries and in the world as a whole is a consequence of the massive introduction of 5G in the global market. Access in fifth-generation networks, which by the end of 2023 do not work in the Russian Federation, is, by definition, faster than in 4G, LTE. That is, in our country the speed is growing more slowly than in others, the source explained. The Ministry of Digital Development told Izvestia that the department sees no prerequisites for reducing the speed of mobile Internet in Russia.^[2]

2018

Mobile Data Prices

2020: Countries with the cheapest mobile internet

Russia entered the top ten countries on the cheapness of mobile Internet. This is evidenced by the data released at the end of July 2020 by the analytical company Content Review.

The cost of 1 GB of mobile Internet in Russia is estimated at 31.6 rubles. This is the sixth indicator in the world. The cheapest gigabyte is in India (7.8 rubles), Israel (26.7 rubles) and Indonesia (28.8 rubles).

Russia entered the top ten countries on the cheapness of mobile Internet

The leader among the countries with the cheapest mobile Internet was Kazakhstan: the tariff there will cost 729 rubles. The second line is occupied by Poland (842 rubles), and the third place went to Russia (887 rubles).

In the world, the average price per 1 GB in ruble terms increased in seven months, from an average of 187 to 188.4 rubles. This, according to the Content Review, is due, among other things, to the markup for connection in certain countries of the new 5G communication standard. Unlimited mobile Internet in the world in July cost an average of 3981 rubles, and in December 2019 - 3181 rubles.

According to experts, by mid-July 2020, there was a tendency to abandon tariffs with unlimited Internet: nine countries from 50 states with the largest GDP have already done this. In return, they offer a large amount of traffic.

The launch of 5G networks has a dual effect, on the one hand, it allows operators to launch tariffs with unlimited traffic, on the other hand, it serves as a reason to increase the cost of services, and for subscribers of all generations of communication, the study says.

The coronavirus pandemic and the self-isolation regime that followed it hit not so much the income of operators as the infrastructure and networks, the load on which has seriously increased, "commented Sergey Polovnikov, head of Content Review and author of the study. - This was the main reason for the rejection of unlimited tariffs in almost every fifth country in the world.[3]

2018

Subscriber base

2022 Ericsson forecast 2017

According to the Ericsson Ericsson Mobility Report (June 2017), by 2022 there will be 9 billion mobile connections and 6.2 billion unique subscribers in the world. The number of connections to MSHPD networks will increase by 2.6 billion and amount to 8.3 billion. Traffic in mobile networks will grow 8 times by 2022.

For comparison, this amount of traffic can generate:

• The entire population Spain with 24-hour HD streaming video viewing for a month;
• One user when watching streaming HD video continuously for 3.55 Ma;
• Broadcast HD video for 31 billion hours.
• Global mobile traffic growth by 70%

In the 1 quarter of 2017, 107 million new connections were recorded in mobile networks, and their total number was 7.6 billion, which is 4% more than in 2016.

India was the leader in the number of connections (+ 43 million), followed by China (+ 24 million), Indonesia (+ 10 million ), Pakistan (+ 5 million ) and Nigeria (+ 3 million). The growth in India is mainly due to the fact that one of the operators offered free transmission of voice and data.

The number of connections to mobile broadband networks (MSAP) increased by 25% over the year. In the 1 quarter of 2017 alone, 240 million connections were added, and their total number at the moment is 4.6 billion.

According to the report, in the period from the 1st quarter of 2016 to the 1st quarter of 2017, global mobile traffic increased by 70%. The annual increase in global traffic was a record since 2013. Over the coming years, the growth driver will be video, the traffic of which will grow by about 50% per year until the end of 2022 and will occupy 75% of the total volume of transmitted data. Over the next 6 years, social media traffic will show annual growth of 38% per year. However, due to the dominance of video, the share of social networks in the total traffic volume will decrease from 13% in 2016 to 11% in 2022. The rest of the applications will account for 19-34% of the transmitted data, and their share will also decrease due to video.

The number of smartphones in mobile networks is still growing, they now account for 55% of connections. In Q1 2017, 80% of phones sold were smartphones. This trend will intensify and lead to a nine-fold increase in smartphone traffic in 2022, which will reach 66 EB per month. Thus, more than 90% of all mobile traffic will come from smartphones.

In 2018, LTE (4G) will become the most common access technology, bypassing GSM. It took only five years to provide access to 4G for 2.5 billion people. In the case of WCDMA/HSPA (3G), this took 8 years. Taking into account 250 million new LTE connections in the first quarter of 2017, their total number is now 2.1 billion.

The net increase in connections to WCDMA/HSPA in the first quarter of 2017 was 10 million. The number of connections to VoLTE continues to grow actively, the number of which will reach 540 million by the end of 2017. VoLTE technology works in 100 networks in 55 countries. By 2022, VoLTE will have 4.6 billion connections, the share of VoLTE in LTE will be 90%.

According to Ericsson's forecast, by 2022 there will be more than 500 million subscribers in fifth-generation networks (not counting IoT devices), and 15% of the world's population will live in their coverage area. Thanks to 5G, new use cases and the deployment of the mass Internet of Things will be possible.

2020 Ericsson Forecast

According to Ericsson forecasts, by 2020, 2G (GSM) networks will give way, and WCDMA/HSPA (third generation, 3G) with a total number of 4.4 billion devices will become the dominant access technology. In the fourth generation 4G/LTE networks, 3.5 billion devices will be connected by this time, 600 million of which will be in Europe. According to Ericsson's forecast, by 2020, video traffic in cellular networks in the world will grow 10 times.

2020 Cisco Forecast

Since the first mobile phone with a camera appeared in 2000, the number of mobile subscribers on our planet has increased five times. By 2020, there will already be 5.5 billion of them, i.e. 70% of the world population. Such data are presented in the next issue of the Cisco report "Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast [2015 to 2020]^[4][5]. The avalanche-like growth in the number of mobile users, smart devices, mobile video and 4G networks in the next five years will lead to an eightfold increase in mobile traffic.

According to forecasts, by 2020, 72% of all mobile devices and connections will be in the category of "smart" (in 2015 this figure was 36%), and "smart" devices will generate 98% of mobile data traffic. If we talk about individual devices, then smartphones will dominate in mobile traffic: by 2020 they will account for 81% of all mobile traffic (in 2015 - 76%). The number of mobile phones, including "smartphones" (a kind of hybrid of a smartphone and tablet), is growing at such a rate that by 2020 their owners (5.4 billion) will be more than the number of people who have electricity (5.3 billion), water supply (3.5 billion) or a car (2.8 billion).

Mobile video will come out on top in terms of growth among all mobile applications. It is expected that by 2018 the share of 4G connections will exceed the share of 2G, and by 2020 - the share of 3G connections. By 2020, 4G connections will account for more than 70% of all mobile traffic, and the monthly volume will almost six times exceed the traffic of all other types of connections.

Key trends in Russia

• 8x mobile data traffic growth in 2015-2020
• Mobile users: in 2015, 85% of the population used mobile communications, by 2020 this figure will be 87%.
• Mobile video: by 2020 in Russia, video will account for 75% of mobile data traffic (at the end of 2015, this figure was 54%).
• By 2020, smartphones will account for 85% of all mobile traffic.
• Over the period 2015-2020, 4G traffic will grow 33 times, and by 2020 its share will be 65% of all mobile data traffic (at the end of 2015). this figure was 16.5%).
• By 2020, cloud applications will generate 91% of all mobile data traffic (at the end of 2015, this figure was 82%).
• For the period 2015-2020. Machine-to-machine traffic (M2M) will grow 24 times and by 2020 will account for 4% of all mobile data traffic.
• By 2020, the number of wearable devices will reach 25.5 million. Of these, 1.1 million will be equipped with built-in cellular communications.

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The volume of global mobile data traffic does not decrease

• By 2020, the projected annual volume of mobile data traffic will be 366.8 exabytes. For comparison:
• this is 120 times the total global mobile traffic for 2010;
• this is 81 trillion images (MMS, Instagram, etc.), or 28 images daily sent by each inhabitant of the Earth during the year.
• this is 7 trillion video clips (YouTube, etc.), or 2.5 videos per day for every inhabitant of the Earth for a year.
• In 2015-2020, global mobile data traffic will grow at double the rate of global fixed IP traffic.
• In 2015, the share of unloaded mobile data traffic was 51%. By 2020, it will reach 55%.
• Video will account for over 75% of global mobile data traffic by 2020

Mobile devices and connections are getting smarter

• By 2020, the number of devices and connections ready to connect to the mobile network will reach 11.6 billion. Of these, 8.5 billion are personal mobile devices, and 3.1 billion are machine-to-machine connections (in 2015, the number of devices and connections ready to connect to a mobile network was 7.9 billion).
• Smart devices and connections by 2020 will generate 98% of the world's mobile data traffic (89% in 2015).
• Smartphones, laptops and tablets will generate about 92% of the world's mobile data traffic by 2020 (94% in 2015). The share of inter-machine connections and ordinary phones in 2015 accounted for 3% of the world mobile data traffic, by 2020 the share of the former will grow to 7%, and the latter will decrease to 1%.

The number of inter-machine connections and wearable devices continues to grow Machine-to-machine connections are applications that allow wired and wireless systems to communicate with other devices of similar purpose (GPS and navigation, asset tracking, consumption accounting systems, security and video surveillance systems, health monitoring, etc.). Wearable devices (smartwatches, medical monitoring devices, etc.) communicate with the network either directly using built-in cellular communications, or through another device (the smartphone plays its role most often), to which data is transmitted via Bluetooth, Wi-Fi, etc. When making a forecast, wearable devices were included in the M2M category.

• By 2020, M2M connections will represent 26.4% of connected mobile devices (2015 indicator - 7.7%).
• By 2020, M2M connections will generate 6.7% of total mobile traffic (2.7% in 2015).
• By 2020, the number of wearable devices will exceed 600 million (in 2015 there were about 97 million).

The number of Wi-Fi access points is growing

• Globally, the number of Wi-Fi access points, including home ones, over the period 2015-2020. will grow sevenfold - from 64 to 432 million. In 2015, monthly Wi-Fi offload traffic (3.9 exabytes) exceeded mobile and cellular traffic (3.7 exabytes) for the first time.
• By 2020, 38.1 exabytes of Wi-Fi unloading traffic will be generated monthly, which will be higher than the projected volume of monthly mobile and cellular traffic (30.6 exabytes).

2015

Global mobile Internet traffic in 2015 grew by 65%, while LTE networks have 1 billion connections, 160 million of which fell in the fourth quarter, according to a report by Ericsson.

In general, in the fourth quarter, about 7.3 billion connections were recorded in mobile networks, which is equal to the global population. There are 68 million new connections in the quarter. In terms of growth, this indicator was in the lead India (21 million), followed by (China 6 million), (5 USA million), Myanmar (5 million) and (3 Nigeria million).

Interestingly, the traffic created on social networks became the second largest after video traffic. According to Ericsson forecasts, in the next six years, traffic generated by users of social networks will grow 12 times.

Ericsson also studied the impact of mobile network quality on subscribers' perception of telecom operators and content providers. To study the relationship between these two parameters, neurotechnologies were used to assess the emotional response of people during the use of smartphones.

In the face of a shortage of time, delays in downloading sites and videos cause a 38% increase in heart rate. A six-second pause in streaming video leads to a third jump in stress levels. By comparison, a math test and watching a horror movie alone cause similar stress. Pauses that occur during video viewing also cause significant nervous system strain.

The lack of delays leads to an increase in the index of consumer loyalty to the operator by 4.5 points. In the case of broadcast delays associated with pre-buffering content, the index decreases by an average of 4 points. It is noteworthy that even small delays have doubly negative consequences: they lead to a decrease in loyalty to their operator and an increase in interest in the services of competitors.

2014

By the end of 2014, 7.1 billion devices will be connected to cellular networks, of which 2.9 billion to mobile. In the To the Internet third quarter of 2014, sales continued to grow - smartphones their share in the total sales of phones reached 65-70% against 55% in the same period in 2013. By the end of the year, experts predict 800 million new connections to cellular networks through, smartphones but at the moment the share of smartphones in global connections to mobile networks is only 37%.

Analysts believe that many smartphone owners still do not use the mobile Internet, which means that the market still has great potential for growth. By 2020, the number of connections to cellular networks using smartphones will grow to 6.1 billion (for comparison, today this figure is 2.7 billion devices).

Due to the connection of an increasing number of smartphones to cellular networks, traffic is also growing. The global volume of monthly traffic generated by smartphones in 2014 amounted to 2.1 exabytes (one exabyte = 10 to the 18th degree bytes) and by 2020 will exceed 17 exabytes.

This also increases the amount of traffic per user. If in the fall of 2014 there are 900 megabytes per month per connection, then by 2020 this figure will increase to 3.5 gigabytes. Data traffic on cellular networks around the world generated by smartphones will show eightfold growth by 2020.

The fastest growing segment of the mobile data traffic market is video, which accounts for 45-55% of mobile data traffic in networks where 4G is the dominant technology. The increase is due to an increase in the number of views of streaming video, which occurs simultaneously with an increase in the quality of video transmission on cellular networks.

Video is increasingly used in online applications, including news and advertising, as well as in social media. In addition, the growing interest in streaming video is associated with the spread of OTT services and the growth of content views of services such as YouTube.

2012

According to Ericsson's report on the state of the mobile broadband market, in the third quarter of 2012, the volume of data traffic doubled compared to the third quarter of 2011. This trend suggests that the cumulative CAGR of traffic volume in 2012-2018 will be approximately 50%. This growth will largely be due to the wide distribution of the smartphone and the growing popularity of various video services.

Ericsson's research confirms the fact that the main driver of data traffic growth is video: online video now accounts for 25% of smartphone-generated traffic and more than 40% of tablet traffic.

After analyzing the penetration rate of smartphones in the world, Ericsson researchers concluded that smartphones account for approximately 40% of all phones sold in the third quarter of 2012. By 2018, the number of connections to the network via smartphones is expected to triple - from the current 1.1 billion to 3.3 billion connections. In Russia, the penetration of smartphones is currently at the level of 26%.

By the end of 2012, the total number of connections is expected to reach 6.6 billion, and by the end of 2018 - 9.3 billion, excluding M2M connections. Approximately 35% of the net growth of new connections (about 38 million connections) in the 3rd quarter of 2012 is accounted for. China Next in the list of countries with the highest net connection growth are (9 Brazil million), Indonesia (7 million) and the Philippines (5 million). In general, in the 3rd quarter of 2012, the global mobile penetration rate reached 91%, and the growth of mobile connections to the Internet increased by 55% compared to the previous year and crossed the mark of 1.4 billion.

By the end of 2012, the number of broadband Internet users in Russia will reach more than 22 million, while the mobile broadband access indicators in our country are significantly higher - the number of subscribers at the end of 2012 is expected at more than 70 million.

By mid-2012, the number of users of LTE networks around the world amounted to 455 million people. It is assumed that in five years more than half of the world's population will have access to LTE technology.

LTE is the fastest-growing technology in mobile history. LTE networks are currently being deployed in all regions of the world, and the total number of LTE connections will grow from 55 million at the end of 2012 to an estimated 1.6 billion in 2018. In 2012, the number of new LTE connections amounted to 13 million. WCDMA/HSPA remains the dominant technology, providing connectivity to more than half of the world's population. The number of new connections over WCDMA/HSPA networks in 2012 amounted to 65 million.

2010

"In 2010, the number of mobile broadband access users worldwide grew by 30% and reached 500 million, however, this is only about 10% of the total number of mobile subscribers. We expect that the rapid development of mobile broadband access will continue in 2011, the number of users of high-speed mobile Internet will double and this year will reach one billion. The drivers of this process will be the growing sales of smartphones and tablets with the ability to connect to mobile networks. At the same time, we expect that mobile Internet traffic will double annually in the near future, "comments Hans Westberg, President of Ericsson (January 2011).

Mobile broadband in 2010 was widely used: at the end of the year, 3G/WCDMA networks already covered more than 35% of the world's population. Today, almost all WCDMA networks support HSPA data acceleration technology. In the fourth quarter of 2010, the number of HSPA users reached 7% of all mobile subscribers in the world. According to forecasts, by 2015 the number of subscribers on HSPA networks will be 35% of the number of mobile users, or 75% of all mobile broadband access users in the world. As of January 2011, over 60% of HSPA-enabled networks are capable of delivering data speeds up to 7.2 Mbps. Only 2% of all HSPA networks in the world support speeds up to 42 Mbps (the maximum speed in existing networks), however, in the coming years their share will increase.

According to Ericsson's observations of operating mobile networks, mobile data traffic in the global dimension doubled in just one year (between the third quarter of 2009 and the third quarter of 2010). According to the company's forecasts, in the near future data traffic in mobile networks will double annually. This dynamics will be based on the rapid growth in the penetration of smartphones and tablets, as well as the growth of laptop connections using mobile modems. On the other hand, the refusal of operators from unlimited tariffs for data transmission and the transition to differentiated tariffs can have a significant impact on the trend of traffic growth. Differentiated tariff formation became one of the notable phenomena of the past year, many operators began to move away from the so-called unlimited "flat-rate" tariffs and introduce tariff plans, where the price of the tariff depends on the monthly consumption limit allocated to the subscriber or on the maximum access speed limit.

Mobile broadband (broadband access) as of August 2010, only 10% of cellular users in the world are available, however, data traffic is beginning to take an increasingly significant position in the overall traffic structure. Measurements taken by Ericsson on networks around the world show that global mobile data traffic has almost tripled in 2009, growing ten times faster than voice traffic. It is significant that mobile data traffic continues to grow exponentially even after overcoming the historical milestone in December 2009, when data, not voice, began to prevail in the overall structure of world traffic. According to Ericsson data for the second quarter of 2010, the monthly volume of measured global mobile data traffic is about 225,000 TB.

Notes